This is already the fourth meeting this season and Phoenix has covered the number in two of them, including an outright 79-71 win last Wednesday, outscoring the Lynx 27-14 in the fourth quarter. The Mercury somehow pulled out the victory while missing 15 of 16 3-pointers, and Alyssa Thomas scored a team-leading 29 points. Phoenix has won and covered three in a row following a 78-77 win at Golden State on Monday as a 2.5-point underdog. Minnesota is home following four road games in six days and it won two of them. The last three went OVER and four of the past six home games with Phoenix have gone OVER. The Mercury have won nine of 11 and they have gone OVER six of nine. Phoenix is 5-1 OVER its past six Wednesday games. The Mercury has covered four straight against teams with winning records. Three plays here: Take the Mercury ATS as a best bet, bet Phoenix on the moneyline, and play the OVER.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on July 16, 2025 at 10:26AM ET.
Phoenix at Minnesota
July 16, 2025
2 units on Phoenix +10.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Phoenix +421 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 5.21)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 157.5 -106 (risk 1.5 to return 2.92)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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