These Pro Picks were released to clients on July 16, 2025 at 10:26AM ET.
img WNBA

Phoenix at Minnesota

July 16, 2025
img1:00 PM Eastern

This is already the fourth meeting this season and Phoenix has covered the number in two of them, including an outright 79-71 win last Wednesday, outscoring the Lynx 27-14 in the fourth quarter. The Mercury somehow pulled out the victory while missing 15 of 16 3-pointers, and Alyssa Thomas scored a team-leading 29 points. Phoenix has won and covered three in a row following a 78-77 win at Golden State on Monday as a 2.5-point underdog. Minnesota is home following four road games in six days and it won two of them. The last three went OVER and four of the past six home games with Phoenix have gone OVER. The Mercury have won nine of 11 and they have gone OVER six of nine. Phoenix is 5-1 OVER its past six Wednesday games. The Mercury has covered four straight against teams with winning records. Three plays here: Take the Mercury ATS as a best bet, bet Phoenix on the moneyline, and play the OVER.

2 units on Phoenix +10.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Phoenix +421 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 5.21)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 157.5 -106 (risk 1.5 to return 2.92)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
10
23
16
17
66
Minnesota Lynx img
21
16
27
15
79
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING

Get free WNBA Picks

I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.