Phoenix at Las Vegas

Three of the past four meetings have gone UNDER, and Phoenix is 28-21-2 UNDER this season, including 12 of its past 17 games. Las Vegas has stayed UNDER four of its past six games overall and five of seven at home. The Mercury have been impressive in taking out both of last year's Finals teams, New York and Minnesota, and defense was a big part of it. The Mercury have allowed 75.9 points per game in the postseason. The posted total for this game may be a bit inflated due to the Aces' thrilling 107-98 overtime victory against Indiana. However, this series will be intense from a defensive standpoint, and Las Vegas beat the Mercury 83-61 in their last meeting on August 21. The game went under by 27.5 points. Take the UNDER.