This Pro Pick was released to clients on June 22, 2026 at 10:13AM ET.
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Phoenix at Indiana

June 22, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

Phoenix's last two games totaled 166 and 162 combined points — both well under tonight's posted number — and that tells you what kind of offensive team the Mercury are running right now. They scored 93 when they were getting shots to fall, and 76 when they weren't, and neither ceiling moves this total on its own. The Fever posted 96 and 101 in their last two, but both were against Atlanta's pressure defense that generated 19 Indiana turnovers and created a fast-break offense that drove the scoring. Phoenix doesn't force that kind of chaos, but Indiana won't be generating those transition opportunities either — this sets up as a half-court game. The Mercury held Seattle to just under 36-percent shooting from the field Saturday, and a similar defensive showing against a Fever team coming off two draining losses to Atlanta keeps the total well within range. Play the UNDER.

1 unit on Game Total UNDER 177.5 -107 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
19
22
11
25
77
Indiana Fever img
6
35
30
15
86
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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