Phoenix is winless on the road, last in the league in points allowed (88.2 points per game), ninth in rebounds and eighth in assists. The Mercury are on a 4-11 ATS run on the road, plus 3-8-1 ATS against a team with a losing straight-up record. Dallas has better balance, fifth in points, and fourth in rebounds. Dallas just beat this team at Phoenix in a wild 117-111 triple-overtime victory as a +7.5 dog. Dallas won despite trailing by 17 points in the third quarter. The Wings won the battle of the boards, 49-40, including 15-10 on the offensive glass and won the turnover battle. Now Dallas is home for its new fans, and is 16-7 ATS when following a spread cover. With the Mercury just 2-8 ATS in the last 10 meetings on the road against Dallas, grab home court and back Dallas.
TAKE THE GUESSWORK OUT OF SPORTS BETTING
Get free WNBA Picks
I pore over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning.
You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.