Dallas absorbed the worst loss of their season three days ago: a 100-76 hammering at Minnesota where they trailed by 27 points in the second quarter and Azzi Fudd went 2-for-12. They return home needing a response. The bounce-back spot for a focused team at home tends to produce disciplined basketball rather than a wide-open shootout, and that matters for both sides of this ticket. Phoenix arrives finishing the fourth game of a road trip, sitting at 4-9 with a bottom-three offense at 81.6 points per game. What they have shown is toughness: their last outing was an 87-81 loss at Golden State, where they trailed by 17 and clawed back to within a point in the fourth quarter. A team built to fight doesn't get blown out by eight or more on the road trip finale against a Dallas squad still shaking off a humbling loss. The total lands comfortably in the mid-160s, and the spread remains tight. Go with Phoenix on the spread and take the UNDER.
These Pro Picks were released to clients on June 11, 2026 at 1:11PM ET.
Phoenix at Dallas
June 11, 2026
2 units on Phoenix +7.5 (-113) (risk 2 to return 3.77) Game of the Week
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 169.5 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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