Phoenix at Connecticut

The teams met for the first time this year, and Connecticut won and covered all four meetings in 2024. The Sun are a much different squad this season, but Phoenix is laying too many points in this matchup, especially on the road. The Mercury have split their four road games this season, including a 23-point blowout loss at Minnesota. They are 1-4-1 ATS in their past six games at Connecticut, and the Mercury have lost their past five road games outright against the Sun. Phoenix has gone OVER its past four Wednesday games, and Connecticut has gone OVER six of its past eight home games. Four of the past six meetings have gone OVER, and Phoenix is 3-1 OVER its past four games, and it averages 79.6 points this season. Take the Sun ATS, on the moneyline, and the OVER.