This pick was released to clients on August 29, 2023 at 12:36PM ET.
img WNBA

Phoenix at Atlanta

August 29, 2023
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Both teams have hit hard times and Atlanta is laying too many points no matter who it is playing as it has lost six of seven with a 2-5 ATS mark. Phoenix played one of its best games in a while, but came up short 77-74 against Dallas on Sunday. The Mercury shot 51.6 percent with Moriah Jefferson scoring a team-leading 20 points, and Brittney Griner added 19 points, as Dallas was held to 36 percent from the field. If Phoenix can come close to that performance it can cover the number and even get an outright win against the Dream, who have lost eight of their past 10 and are three games below .500 after getting off to a decent start this season. Phoenix destroyed the Dream 91-71 on Aug. 3 and that was without Griner. The Mercury allow 83.5 points per game compared to 84.5 for Atlanta. Take the Mercury ATS and on the moneyline, plus a Max Play on the OVER.

1 unit on Phoenix +8.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
0.5 unit on Phoenix +345 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 2.23)
Result:
LOSS
2 units on Game Total OVER 159.5 -105 (risk 2 to return 3.9)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
12
14
30
20
76
Atlanta Dream img
31
23
24
16
94
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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