New York at Seattle

Seattle is 3-15 and has dropped 11-straight, so let's be clear about what this is not: a pick built on the Storm's quality. They are running the league's worst offense and playing without several key contributors. The case here is purely about the market. The Liberty comes in at 12-6, just off a road win over Las Vegas, and the public has piled heavily onto New York tonight, the kind of one-sided action that tends to push the number past its fair value. Professional money has landed on Seattle, both against the posted spread and on the moneyline. That matters more than the standings do. The Storm have been covering all season consistently despite the record, keeping losses competitive behind a young core that competes hard even when results fall short. Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson have been the team's two most encouraging players through this run. Seattle is live in a spot that has historically shown value for struggling home clubs against imposing favorites in the first half of the season. Take the Storm against the posted spread, and take a small flyer on the moneyline tonight.