New York at Atlanta

New York has had it so bad that they fired their coach, Pat Coyle. Anne Donovan takes over here. They begin a road trip which I think will be healthy emotionally, after an 0-3 home stand. The last couple of times they were on the road with a line similar to this, they covered both times (+3.5 at Washington and +3 at Chicago). This team is in fact 4-2 ATS on the road this season. Atlanta is a losing team because they can't defend. Despite scoring 82.4 per game, they have a sub-.500 record. This bodes well for New York as the Liberty are 10-2 ATS on the road the past two seasons in post-All star play when facing a team that allows 73+ ppg. They are also 9-2 ATS on the road over that same span against teams that score 73+ ppg. Over the same time span, they are 17-8 ATS off a loss and 11-2 ATS if the loss was against a division rival. Atlanta is 11-3 ATS the past two seasons at home after a game in which they scored 75+ points. Atlanta looks like the easy choice here but that usually means the other side is the right play.