Minnesota at Seattle

Minnesota won plenty of these without needing style points, and Monday's trip to Climate Pledge Arena fit the pattern: comfortable into the fourth, then hanging on as Seattle chipped away for a 105-102 final that left the Lynx sweating a double-digit number the whole way. Kayla McBride and Olivia Miles carried the offense while the defense that's supposed to separate Minnesota from the field went quiet, and the rematch two days later doesn't fix that on its own. Napheesa Collier is probable to make her long-delayed 2026 debut this afternoon, but a player working back from double ankle surgery in the final game before the All-Star break is a workload story, not an instant defensive fix. Seattle has lost seven of its last eight and carries a five-game skid into this one, normally a team I stay away from entirely. But Dominique Malonga, Awa Fam and Flau'jae Johnson keep playing beyond that record: Johnson dropped 26 on the Lynx just two days ago, and the number today asks something of Minnesota it hasn't managed all week, winning by double digits. Respected money is already circling the underdog price, pushing Seattle's moneyline shorter since the market opened. Take Seattle on the spread today, and take a flyer on the moneyline too.