These Pro Picks were released to clients on May 12, 2026 at 10:32AM ET.
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Minnesota at Phoenix

May 12, 2026
img10:00 PM Eastern

Minnesota is without injured superstar Napheesa Collier. But the Lynx should not be taken lightly. They reached the WNBA finals two seasons ago and had the best regular-season record at 34-10 last year. They have retained their second- and third-best players, Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams. Minnesota also has the favorite for Rookie of the Year honors in point guard Olivia Miles, the No. 2 selection in the 2026 draft. She had 21 points, eight assists, two steals, and two blocks in her Minnesota WNBA debut, a 91-90 home loss to Atlanta this past Saturday. The Lynx covered as 5.5-point underdogs. This is a huge revenge spot for the Lynx as the Mercury eliminated them in the second round of the playoffs last season. Phoenix sprung a major upset in its opener, beating Las Vegas, 99-66, but then fell to Golden State, 95-79, as 2.5-point road underdogs this past Sunday night. Minnesota is the more rested team, as this will be the Mercury's third game in four days. Phoenix superstar Alyssa Thomas and Miles rank first and fourth, respectively, in assists. They combine to average more than 40 points a game. The Lynx led the WNBA in scoring last year at 86.1 points per game. Take the Lynx to cover, and bet this game OVER.

2 units on Minnesota +4.5 (-108) (risk 2 to return 3.85) Game of the Week
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total OVER 169 -122 (risk 1 to return 1.82)
Result:
WIN
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Minnesota Lynx img
19
22
27
20
88
Phoenix Mercury
20
25
22
17
84
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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