This pick was released to clients on May 21, 2025 at 11:52AM ET.
img WNBA

Los Angeles at Phoenix

May 21, 2025
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Los Angeles added star guard Kelsey Plum and it has a new coach this season in Lynne Roberts. The Sparks also return their leading scorer, Dearica Hamby, who averaged 17.3 points and 9.2 rebounds in 2024. They already have a blowout win defeating expansion Golden State 84-67 in their season opener on Friday before losing 89-75 to Minnesota. Phoenix comes off an 81-59 win over Seattle, but the Mercury lost six of their final eight games last year. They are 2-6 straight up and ATS their past eight home games dating to last season and 5-9-1 ATS overall. Four of the past six meetings have gone UNDER and Phoenix stayed UNDER by 18 points against the Storm. Los Angeles went UNDER its first two games. The Sparks have plenty of revenge motivation as they did not defeat the Mercury in any games in 2024. Take the Sparks ATS and on the moneyline, and bet this one to stay UNDER.

2 units on Los Angeles +6 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
0.5 unit on Los Angeles +190 (moneyline) (risk 0.5 to return 1.45)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 162 -110 (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Los Angeles Sparks
19
27
7
33
86
Phoenix Mercury img
23
19
24
23
89
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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