Los Angeles at Atlanta

The Sparks have dropped three straight true road games since Kelsey Plum went down with a lower-leg injury in late June, and this stretch has looked exactly like what a team missing its second-leading scorer should look like: thin, searching, grinding out possessions instead of finding easy ones. But this number treats Atlanta like a team that's been steamrolling the league, and that's not this Dream club. Atlanta was mired in a five-game losing skid before snapping it against Seattle last week, and the Dream sit at 9-12 against the spread on the year, well underwater as a favorite in spots like this. Nneka Ogwumike is still producing without Plum, averaging 16.5 points and 8.6 boards a night, with Erica Wheeler running the point in relief. Atlanta counters with Rhyne Howard's 18.9 points and Angel Reese banging inside for 11.7 rebounds, but this is a team that's shown it can let winnable games slip. Laying this many points on a club that just crawled out of its own funk is too rich a price, and my number says this line is soft. We're on the Sparks with the points tonight.