Las Vegas at Washington

We backed Washington as a plus-number underdog against Golden State a few days ago, and it cashed with room to spare, the Mystics grinding out a game that never got away from them. That's been the story of this Washington season: a roster built around Kiki Iriafen and Sonia Citron, both playing well enough to be All-Stars this weekend, has kept the Mystics inside close numbers even in tough spots. Las Vegas arrives with the more decorated resume, A'ja Wilson putting together an MVP-caliber season at better than 25 points a night with Chelsea Gray running one of the league's better offenses, but the number tonight is a big one to ask of a Washington team that has covered spreads this size or larger in the clear majority of its chances as an underdog this year. Both clubs are playing their last game before the break, so fatigue isn't the edge here; the number is. A roster carrying two All-Star starters isn't one I want to lay this kind of number against. Back Washington on the spread tonight.