Las Vegas suffered a letdown after cruising through the first two games of the WNBA Finals and not only lost 87-73, but also suffered a key injury as Chelsea Gray limped off the floor with a foot injury. Gray averages 15.2 points and 7.3 assists and she was the 2022 Finals MVP and she shoots 89.7 percent from the free-throw line while playing 32.2 minutes this season. New York held the Aces to 33 percent shooting while shooting 52 percent itself and hitting 13 of 30 from 3-point range. Jonquel Jones scored 27 points and grabbed eight rebounds for New York. The Liberty are 41-8 straight-up this season including 17-6 vs. winning teams and 14-5 vs. good shooting teams like Las Vegas (those making 44%+ from the field). The Aces are now just 2-5 this season on the road vs. Eastern Conference teams. Compare that to New York's 13-5 mark vs. Western Conference teams. I liked New York ATS at the small opening number but given where this line sits now, take the Liberty on the moneyline.
This pick was released to clients on October 18, 2023 at 10:10AM ET.
Las Vegas at New York
October 18, 2023
8:07 PM Eastern
1.5 units on New York -225 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 2.17)
Las Vegas Aces
New York Liberty
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