Las Vegas at Chicago

Chicago is 10-18 and nowhere near respectable on paper, but the Sky have won three straight at home, and Thursday's finish fit the pattern. Down 14 to Connecticut, Chicago leaned on Kamilla Cardoso's 18-point fourth quarter and DiJonai Carrington's season debut to grind out a 94-88 win. That composure matters against a Las Vegas team whose recent wins have come more from hot shooting than genuine separation. The Aces made 13 of 28 threes in Thursday's win over New York, and clips like that from distance rarely repeat the very next time out. We had New York getting the points against this same Aces team Thursday, and the Liberty covered in a 104-99 finish that stayed under the cushion. Chicago has already hung with Vegas twice this season, an eight-point loss at home in June and an overtime fight on the road in July, and neither one looked like a 6.5-point gap. I like the Sky to cover today. Take Chicago on the spread.