We had Portland at a plus number against Indiana on Friday, and it didn't hold. Caitlin Clark logged her fourth career triple-double, and the Fever pulled away for their fifth straight win, the first team in WNBA history to clear 100 points in five consecutive games. Kelsey Mitchell has been just as locked in, running her streak of 20-point games to 13 straight. That's the version of Indiana walking into Target Center today, and it's walking into a serious test. Minnesota owns the best record in the league, has won nine straight of its own, and is 11-4 at home this season. That gap is real, and I'm not pretending otherwise. But my mathematical model keeps landing on live, well-rested, high-scoring underdogs catching a number like this one, and Indiana checks every box. Fresh off Friday's win, the Fever have the firepower to keep pace with anybody, and Aliyah Boston is good to go after a knee scare earlier in the week. Getting this number with a team playing this well is exactly the number I want to be on the plus side of. Indiana is the right side on the spread this afternoon.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on August 02, 2026 at 10:16AM ET.
Indiana at Minnesota
August 2, 2026
2 units on Indiana +5.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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