Indiana at Las Vegas

We faded Indiana on the road in Los Angeles last Wednesday and cashed, catching a shorthanded Sparks team that simply wouldn't go away. Tonight, the matchup flips, and the number does the Fever a favor. A'ja Wilson is back to full strength after a three-game absence, dropping 32 points and 10 rebounds in her return, and Las Vegas has won its last two behind her. But this Aces team has covered the spread in fewer than half of its games this season despite the gaudy record, and Caitlin Clark, limited to a 20-to-25-minute restriction as she works back from a back injury, is still enough of a threat, with Kelsey Mitchell playing the best stretch of her season alongside her. Vegas already found out what this Indiana team can do when healthy, an 84-68 upset back on July 5 with both stars out that day. A market still riding the emotional high of one huge individual performance is the kind of number worth catching on the other side. Take Indiana with the points tonight.