Indiana at Chicago

Indiana has a winning spread record at home but a losing one on the road. The defense is a problem, ranked 11th in points surrendered (86.52 per game). They're 6-11 straight up on the road and this is their third road game over the last four contests. Chicago is No. 1 in rebounds behind 6-3 Angel Reese (13.3 ppg, 12.9 rpg) and 6-7 Kamilla Cardoso (9.1 ppg, 8 rpg). They're on a 7-6 ATS run, including an 82-80 loss to Connecticut three games ago as a +11 underdog and a 77-75 loss to Las Vegas two games ago as a +9.5 home dog. These teams have met three times this season with two decided by just one point, so back the home dog. Play Chicago.