Atlanta has won the last two games of the Finals by 14 and 26 points, 79-65 in Game 2 and 97-71 in Game 3, to lead the series 2-1. Golden State has the better regular-season record, 32-12 to Atlanta's 30-14. The Dream's shooting is what changed. They failed to reach 35% from the field in either of the first two games, then hit 49.3% in Game 3 and made 9 of 22 from three. The Valkyries keep handing them chances. They committed 18 turnovers in Game 2, 14 of them steals, and Rhyne Howard set a Finals record with six of those. They gave it away 15 more times in Game 3. Atlanta also lives at the line, drawing 23 fouls in Game 2 and scoring 30 points off free throws, then getting 29 free-throw attempts in Game 3. Angel Reese finished that game with 21 points and 12 rebounds. Golden State missed its first eight shots and was scoreless for the first five minutes. It tied the game early in the second half, and Atlanta then outscored it 51-31 across the half. I'm laying the points with Atlanta on Saturday afternoon.
This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 24, 2026 at 10:44AM ET.
Golden State at Atlanta
October 24, 2026
1 unit on Atlanta -4.5 (-113) (risk 1 to return 1.88)
Result:
LOSS
LOSS
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