Dallas at Washington

Dallas is playing hard down the stretch, covering two of the last three, including an 88-83 win at Chicago as a double-digit underdog. They also covered two games ago against this Washington team, 91-85 as a +11 dog. WNBA road dogs that are outscored by 3+ points per game are 35-14 ATS when facing an opponent that scored 90+ points the previous contest. Dallas matches up well with Rookie of the Year frontrunner Arike Ogunbowale (18.5 points per game), who had 35 points on 13-of-28 shooting against Washington last Saturday. Washington is a huge home chalk but WNBA double-digit home favorites are 23-52 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. In addition, home favorites with a winning record facing a losing team are 31-63 ATS after a contest where they covered. Also, there have been only 19 underdogs of +16 points or more in WNBA history and they have covered 67% of the time. Play Dallas.