Dallas at Seattle

I was on Seattle's total in Golden State four nights ago, and this defense made sure it never got there, held to 57 points in getting run off the floor by 13. That's been the story of the Storm's season: a historic collapse that has them dropping 18 of their past 20 games entering the finale, eliminated and playing for pride against a Dallas team that still has everything on the line. The Wings enter tied with New York for the seventh seed and sit a half-game behind Washington for sixth, meaning tonight's result matters for playoff positioning while Seattle's does not. Paige Bueckers just set the franchise's single-season scoring record and dropped 30 in Monday's loss to Phoenix, evidence this offense is rolling even when the final score didn't cooperate. Seattle's own most recent outing was a 98-77 loss to Las Vegas in which the Storm shot poorly across the board, the kind of performance that's defined this roster all year. A motivated team fighting for seeding against a team with nothing to play for and a defense that can't get stops is the mismatch the number is built on. Dallas is the play on the spread tonight.