Dallas at Seattle

Dallas escaped Chicago last night by a single point — 93-92 at home in a game that went down to the wire — and now the Wings board a red-eye to face a Seattle team sitting home rested. That rest-and-travel differential is the edge. Dallas showed road vulnerability just this month with an 11-point loss at Golden State, and playing a cross-country back-to-back after a tight game compounds those issues further. Seattle has lost 10 straight, and the record is real, but the market has driven this line to a number implying Dallas wins roughly 4 out of 5. The Wings on the road, fatigued, in front of a desperate home crowd, don't carry that kind of certainty. At close to a 3.5-to-1 payout, Seattle doesn't need to win this spot most nights — just more often than the market implies. Take Seattle at these odds.