Dallas at Phoenix

Dallas likes to run, at fourth in the WNBA in points scored, and fifth in rebounding. Forward Glory Johnson (13.2 points, 9.8 rebounds per game) got plenty of time to rest after breaking her toe, and is back at practice and expects to play. Dallas is only 1.5 games behind Phoenix for the final playoff spot, so this is a big contest. The Phoenix Mercury are a weak rebounding team, #10 in the league, and worse defensively, at #11 in points allowed. Phoenix is 5-11-1 ATS when playing on three or more days of rest, plus 8-20-1 ATS against a team with a losing straight-up record. Dallas has won all the meetings with Phoenix this season, including a 77-74 win when they last met on July 5. Phoenix has failed to cover six of its last seven home games, plus is 4-9 ATS against the Western Conference. Play Dallas.