Dallas at Golden State

Dallas walked into Las Vegas on Monday and hammered the defending champs by 30, the kind of result that says the Wings' young core is starting to click. Paige Bueckers is steering the offense, and at 9-5, this is a real team. Tonight's puzzle is the venue. Golden State sits 9-5 too, owns the league's second-best defense, allowing under 78 points a night, and has won three in a row at home, grinding out low-scoring games in the 70s and 80s. So it's Dallas's offense against the Valkyries' defense, on the road, priced as a near coin flip. That's the value. Golden State wins close and ugly, which keeps a live underdog one shooting run away from stealing it, and Dallas has the firepower to land that run. The Wings' own defense is the worry, since they give up points in bunches, but plus money on a game this even is the right price to be holding. Go with Dallas to win it tonight.