Connecticut at New York

The Connecticut Sun is a much better team than their 2-3 record indicates. This is a team that went 25-9 a year ago, and beat New York two straight in the first round of the playoffs last year. New York was 15-19 a year ago, and 15-21 after the playoffs, and they are off to a 3-2 start. These teams aren't really much different than a year ago, but the good New York start vs. the bad Connecticut start has altered the line here. Connecticut was a -4 point favorite in New York for the playoff game, and at +1.5 here, there is simply not 6 points different between these teams from a year ago. These teams met seven times last year with Connecticut winning six by a total of 85 points or over 12 points per game. New York is going to slow this game down to a crawl, as despite two of their five games going into overtime this season they have yet to play an OVER. Connecticut has already matched that 12 ppg average margin from a year ago with a 12-point win this season. The Sun have played 7 of their last 10 to the UNDER vs. a winning team, while New York is 43-21-2 to the UNDER in their last 66. The Sun owns a 7-2 ATS mark in the last nine meetings, and four of the last five in New York have stayed UNDER the total. Play on Connecticut and take the UNDER.