Connecticut at Atlanta

The Connecticut Sun continue to surprise. They started the seaon opening some eyes at 7-1, went into a tailspin, but have somewhat recovered winning three of their last five. That still leaves this over .500 team at 5-10 in their last 14 games. They are 2-0 vs. Atlanta on the season, but have not seen them since Game 4. The Dream has issues of their own at 1-7 in their last eight games, but they have covered three of their last four, and all four games were vs. winning teams. I think this winning team in Connecticut is not real. Having double-revenge here and playing at home, I like their chances in this one. The Dream is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs. a winning team, and own a 5-1 ATS mark in their last six at home. The Sun has covered just one of their last eight in conference play. Make the play on Atlanta.