Chicago at Golden State

Golden State led by 17 points entering the fourth quarter against a Los Angeles Sparks team well under .500 Sunday, and still saw that lead shrink to six by the final horn as the Sparks closed the game on a run. That's the same profile that could show up again tonight. The Valkyries have the record, 15-7 and 10-3 at home, but the offense behind it is one of the least efficient in the league: 41 percent shooting from the field, one of the worst marks in the WNBA, and the lowest scoring average among the six teams on tonight's board. Chicago isn't a good team at 6-14, but it competes on the glass, tied for third in the league in rebounding, and Kamilla Cardoso is putting up a real season at 14.6 points and 8.6 rebounds a night. A team that can't consistently shoot well and just let a 17-point lead shrink to six against a team this far under .500 isn't the team that should be favored by this much. Golden State wins more often than not here, but this number is bigger than what this team has actually shown on the floor. I don't expect Golden State to pull away. Take Chicago with the points.