Chicago at Connecticut

The Chicago Sky dropped a 1-point road game in Dallas last night, survived a fourth quarter that nearly came apart on them, and now travel to Connecticut without a day off. That schedule spot matters when the opponent is a Connecticut team that hasn't played since Thursday — two full days of recovery the Sky won't have. Chicago is 4-11, and the Sun are 2-15, but this line reflects the record alone without accounting for the situation. Connecticut has enough at home to be live: Brittney Griner forces any road team to account for her presence in the paint, and the Sun put up 97 points against Toronto's defense four days ago. The offense isn't dead. Chicago can't close road games — consecutive 1-point losses tell the same story — and tonight they arrive in Connecticut fatigued after a cross-country back-to-back. At this price, the Sun needs to win roughly four times in ten to show a profit, and against a road team running on fumes with a history of late-game collapses, that's a realistic bar. Go with Connecticut tonight.