Atlanta at Toronto

We were on Toronto plus the points last Sunday against a shorthanded Liberty team, and the Tempo delivered outright, surviving a scare after blowing a 20-point lead to win by two. Tonight's assignment looks tougher on paper. Atlanta arrives off a 101-92 win over the Sparks that pushed the Dream to 14-10, with Angel Reese logging her fourth straight double-double and hunting the offensive glass, exactly where Toronto has struggled all season. That's the honest knock against this side, and I'm not going to pretend it isn't real. But the Atlanta on the floor tonight isn't the one that ran Toronto off the court back in June. Over their last 10 games, the Dream's defense has loosened to nearly 88 points allowed per night, and their three-point shooting has fallen off by 6 points from their season rate. Toronto is still without Brittney Sykes and Kiki Rice, and the four-of-five skid it's carrying is real, including a rough loss in Washington on Tuesday. Even accounting for that, this line is asking a cooling Atlanta offense to pull away by a wide margin on the road, and informed money is building on Toronto tonight, even with the crowd piling onto the favorite. Take Toronto with the points tonight.