Atlanta at Seattle

Atlanta arrives in Seattle tonight as one of the bigger road favorites on the WNBA board, a price built on a 12-5 record and a roster anchored by Angel Reese, who is averaging 14.7 points and 11.8 rebounds while controlling the paint against anyone they've faced. Rhyne Howard provides a reliable second punch, and the Dream have been one of the more complete teams in the league. The case for Seattle isn't that the Storm are a better team. They're 4-15, and they've been beaten up this year. The case is that nine and a half points is a substantial number to lay on the road, even when you're the superior side, and Seattle has enough offensive firepower in Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson to keep this from becoming a blowout. Dallas needed overtime to escape Seattle when Malonga went for 37. Atlanta's defense is a top-five unit in the league, which is actually the thread connecting both sides of this ticket: if the Dream controls Seattle below 80 and grinds through this as a road team rather than running away with it, the game finishes well under the posted total without Seattle needing anything more than a competitive effort to beat the number. Sharp money is on the Storm tonight, with professional backing for Seattle far exceeding what the public ticket count would suggest. Side with Seattle ATS and take the UNDER.