Atlanta at New York

New York is playing its best basketball of the season. Three nights ago, the Liberty walked into Minnesota and beat the league's best team by a dozen as road underdogs, and last night they were even sharper, shooting 57 percent from the field in a rout of Toronto. That form is walking into this building tonight without Satou Sabally, who remains out, and the Liberty haven't needed her: Breanna Stewart has been carrying the frontcourt, and the offense hasn't slowed a step. Atlanta comes in off its own blowout, but the Dream got there by hitting exactly half of 26 three-point attempts against Chicago, the kind of shooting binge that rarely repeats two games running. New York's defense has been good enough over this stretch to make Atlanta work for the same looks tonight. The informed money is already siding with New York here, coming in heavy on the Liberty moneyline even as Atlanta draws the bulk of the tickets, the kind of split worth paying attention to this late in the season with real seeding on the line for both clubs. New York is catching fire at home at exactly the right time, and the Liberty are the play on the spread tonight.