Atlanta at New York

Atlanta has significantly improved its offense after adding veteran guard Allisha Gray (17 ppg) and forward Cheyenne Parker (16.9 ppg, 8.4 rpg) in the offseason. They're averaging 82.6 points per game, fifth in the WNBA in scoring and fourth from 3-point land. They've covered four of the last five after a spread loss, and finished within five points of Vegas the last time they were getting double-digits (92-87). New York is overvalued, failing to cover its last two games as a double-digit favorite. They even lost straight up at home to Chicago, 86-82, as 12-point chalk. They're ninth in the 12-team WNBA in turnovers, and home favorites like New York that go OVER the total by 12+ points in back-to-back games are 59-111 ATS. And New York has failed to cover the last three games versus Atlanta, including a 1-5 ATS run at home against them. Play Atlanta.