This Pro Pick was released to clients on October 26, 2026 at 11:20AM ET.
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Atlanta at Golden State

October 26, 2026
img8:00 PM Eastern

Game 4 on Saturday ended with the Valkyries 67, Dream 62, and Atlanta did much of that damage to itself. The Dream shot 33.3% from the field. Angel Reese went 2-of-12 for eight points after scoring 30 and 21 in the two wins before it. Atlanta also made 22 of 31 free throws, nine misses on the night, and Reese said they would have won had they hit them all. Atlanta's scores in this series are 64, 79, 97, and 62, so I see an offense with a gear that Game 4 never reached. Before the Finals began, the Dream were averaging 92.6 points in these playoffs. Allisha Gray, who has played through a left-hand injury, is not on the injury report, and Golden State lists nobody. Golden State has scored 68, 65, 71, and 67. Its 71 in Game 3 was the high mark, and its bench led the league at 32.3 points a game in the playoffs before the Finals. Atlanta's 64 and 62 account for two of the three lowest-scoring games of the series. Game 3 produced 168 combined points once the Dream's offense was working. Atlanta has now followed a 97-point win with a 62-point loss, and a team that shot 33.3% and left nine free throws on the floor has little chance of repeating that night, which makes the OVER my play tonight.

0.5 unit on Game Total OVER 149.5 -110 (risk 0.5 to return 0.95)
Result:
LOSS
Final
1
2
3
4
F
Atlanta Dream
14
8
18
15
55
Golden State Valkyries img
13
12
21
18
64
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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