Atlanta at Golden State

Golden State won Wednesday's opener of this two-game set 77-66 behind a shooting performance that dismantled Atlanta's defensive lapses on the perimeter — the Valkyries connected on 15 three-pointers, Atlanta made just one in the first half, and the Dream recorded their lowest point total of the season. Even accounting for a bounce-back, tonight's game still runs through the same structural reality: Golden State is one of the league's most efficient defenses, holding opponents well below 80 points per game, and they play at a pace that keeps scoring volumes down. Atlanta is a better offensive team than their 66 suggested — Reese was three-of-12 from the field and never found a rhythm — but Allisha Gray departed Wednesday in the third quarter with an upper body injury and has not been cleared for tonight. The posted total has room for the UNDER to cash even if Atlanta finds its footing. Play the UNDER tonight.