New York Liberty vs San Antonio Silver Stars Point Spread Picks

The San Antonio Stars have the distinction of being the worst team in the WNBA over the past three years as they own a straight up record of a woeful 18-74. That instantly puts them on the good side of things as the odds makers realize they have to pump up the lines against them. That has manifested great results for this team when the line posted is +9 or more, where they own a 22-12-2 ATS mark over the three year period. That expands to 10-3 ATS when their opponent is outside their conference. The only time they have been a home dog of +9 or more was vs. this same New York Liberty team last year, and they got the money in that one. Make the play on San Antonio.

The Liberty won the Eastern Conference last year with a 21-13 record, while the Silver Stars finished the season at 7-27 as the worst team in the league. San Antonio also had a horrific finish at 2-14 over their last 16 games. The Silver Stars have repaired their roster via the draft, adding top overall pick Kelsey Plum, and fifth overall pick Nia Coffey, and will have a new face in the middle as well, adding fee agent center Erika De Souza. Tina Charles was the league's leading scorer last year, and as long as she is healthy New York is going to win some games. Bria Hartley and Kia Vaughn were brought in, exchanging them for Carolyn Swords, and I think New York is going to be a solid choice in the East again, while any progress the Stars make will take some time. Make the play on New York.

New York has a nice lead in the East and is unlikely to be threatened by Atlanta and Indiana, with those two hovering around .500. New York is 2-2 the last four games, including losing as a favorite at home to Indiana (82-70). They open the second half of the season on the road and the Liberty are 3-7-2 ATS against a team with a losing straight-up record. They face a San Antonio squad that is one of the best defensive teams in the WNBA, allowing 80.5 points per game (fourth). San Antonio's offense is led by Kayla McBride, and is eighth in the WNBA in scoring at 17.1 points per game, and the team plays its best basketball at home with four wins. That included a 77-70 win over Washington as a +7 dog, a 73-69 victory over Atlanta as a +5 dog, a 79-78 win over Chicago as a +8 dog, and a 77-70 upset of Seattle as a +4 dog. The Stars are 8-3 ATS following a straight-up loss and the wagering value is for the home team to pull another straight-up surprise. Back San Antonio on the moneyline.

San Antonio is 8-3 ATS its last 11 road games and 7-0 ATS after a loss. The Stars have covered seven of their last 10 games in New York. The Stars lost to Seattle on Friday when the Storm shot 50 percent from the field. Moriah Jefferson led the Stars with 16 points. New York is in first place in the Eastern Conference with a 14-6 record, but the Liberty is only 3-14 ATS their last 17 home games. New York won at Chicago 88-85 with Tina Charles scoring 29 points with nine rebounds. The Stars have a good ATS history in New York, and this is a big number. Play the Stars.