New York Liberty vs Phoenix Mercury

This is a big game for Phoenix, which has won four of six, including 82-80 over Atlanta on Friday. Brittney Griner led the Mercury with 22 points and the team shot 48 percent from the field while the Dream was held to 39 percent. New York had its eight-game win streak snapped losing 72-64 to Connecticut and shooting just 37 percent on Saturday. Phoenix won the last meeting 99-93 while covering as a 5-point underdog on June 18. This will be just the second home game in nine games for the Mercury and they are 8-2 ATS their past 10 home contests. The Liberty are 1-4 ATS their past five following a loss. Take the Mercury.

This is a long road trip for New York to the Southwest, and it's their fifth road game over the last six contests after a win at defending champion Las Vegas. New York is 51-83 ATS after allowing 80+ points in two straight games, plus 11-21 ATS after scoring 80+ points in three consecutive contests. Phoenix has won five of its seven home games. They're playing in the middle of a three-game homestand after an 87-78 win over Seattle as an underdog. Phoenix is on a 9-5 spread run and is fourth in the league at the charity stripe (80.9%). With Phoenix 79-55 ATS after two straight games with 20 or more assists, this is an excellent situational spot for the home dog. Play Phoenix. 

New York had its seven-game win streak snapped as Las Vegas finally won 88-75 on Thursday night after being humiliated by the Liberty the previous two meetings. New York now has to play a back-to-back after an exhausting stretch as it has played four games in seven days, including the Commissioner's Cup championship game. Meanwhile, Phoenix has been off since Sunday and the Mercury have won three of five and they covered the last meeting as a 15-point underdog and losing 99-95 on July 5th. Phoenix has gone OVER three of its past four games and the Mercury are 19-6-1 OVER their past 26 games playing with at least three days rest. Also, Phoenix has gone OVER six of eight overall versus opponents with winning records. Phoenix is 6-1 ATS its past seven home games. Take the points with the Mercury and the OVER.

Phoenix played its best game of the year, defeating Indiana 85-63 while shooting 53 percent. Brittney Griner led the Mercury with 22 points, but then the Mercury lost to Minnesota 86-76 on Saturday, although they still shot 50.8 percent. This team is only 3-12 SU on the year and listed at or near the bottom of WNBA power rankings, but they are showing signs of improving. New York is laying a ton of points even though it just finished a three-game trip, winning two and losing by 17 to Las Vegas. New York is 1-4 ATS its past five games playing with two days rest and the Mercury have covered six of eight meetings at New York. Phoenix is playing much better offensively and can cover this big number. Take the Mercury - Max Play.