Phoenix reached the WNBA finals last season. But since upsetting the champion Aces in their opening game, winning by 33 points, the Mercury have gone 1-6. Phoenix gets a quick rematch with New York after losing, 84-74, to the Liberty this past Wednesday. This is a buy-low spot on the Mercury in revenge mode against a Liberty team that is also off to a slow start. The new coaching staff in New York has drawn fire, with the Liberty just 4-4, having lost twice to expansion Portland, and needing overtime to get past the Mystics. New York was leading the league in scoring through the first four games, but is averaging only 76 points during its past four games - all of which have gone UNDER. Superstar Alyssa Thomas is off to a strong start for Phoenix, while the Liberty has been dealing with injuries to two of its stars. Sabrina Ionescu has played in only one game, and Satou Sabally has logged fewer than four minutes during the last two games because of illness. Take the Mercury on the moneyline and the UNDER.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Mercury vs. Liberty Spread Picks
Get Mercury vs. Liberty point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mercury vs. Liberty game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on New York Liberty on the -5.5 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 86.2 to 84.0 with New York winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Phoenix at New York
Final Score
WNBA Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the +4.5 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 85.9 to 84.6 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Phoenix at New York
Phoenix is 2-1 ATS as an underdog this season, part of a 6-3 ATS run as a dog. They come off an 82-80 loss at Atlanta as a +5.5 dog. New York is 1-3 at home and has lost three in a row as chalk of -5.5, -6, and -10.5. Big offseason acquisition guard Sabrina Ionescu hasn't played much due to an illness. The defense hasn't shown up much, either, ranked 10th in points surrendered (87.7 per game). New York is on a money-burning 7-23-1 ATS run. Play Phoenix.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the -3 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 79.8 to 78.0 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, New York winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
New York at Phoenix
New York is comfortable in pressure-packed games, looking to defend its championship. They're in bounce-back mode after getting embarrassed at home in Game 2, 86-60. The Liberty are fifth in the 13-team league in scoring, fourth in field goal shooting (45.3%), second from 3-point land (35.5%), and No. 1 from the free-throw line (83.7%). The last time they were an underdog, they won at Seattle, 84-76. They also took Game 1 of this series, 76-69, on this court. Phoenix is on a 6-10 spread run, including a 1-6 ATS record in their last seven games as a favorite. Play New York.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on New York Liberty on the -4.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 80.1 to 78.1 with New York winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on New York Liberty on the +1 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 82.8 to 81.9 with New York winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Get free WNBA Picks
I pour over the data, injuries, news, and odds every morning. You get the best bets delivered to your inbox.
Get a top-rated pick every day.