Minnesota Lynx vs Seattle Storm

Seattle is off to a good start and riding a three-game win streak while covering the number in all three. The Storm come off a 102-82 blowout victory against Las Vegas on Sunday as a 5-point underdog. Seattle led by as many as 27 points and shot 60 percent, including 8-for-16 from 3-point range. Nneka Ogwumike led all scorers with 23 points for the Storm, who have won eight of 12 and gone UNDER seven of eight dating to 2024. Seattle has won 17 of 24 meetings with Minnesota, which has stayed UNDER three games in a row while allowing 75.3 points per game and the Storm are yielding 74.3. Take the Storm and the UNDER.

Minnesota is 10-2 at home but 6-4 on the road. They play their sixth road game over the last eight contests riding a 3-3 SU, 2-4 ATS run. They're also eighth in the 12-team league in turnovers. Seattle is .500 on the road but 9-3 straight-up at home. Defense is their calling card, fourth in the league in points given up and second in field goal shooting defense (42.2% allowed). They're also fifth in turnovers and second in free-throw shooting. Seattle is on a 5-2 SU/ATS run and plays its eighth consecutive home contest, making this a great situational spot for the home team. Play Seattle. 

Seattle is fourth in the league in points given up (76.9 per game allowed). They're on a 6-4 run UNDER the total after another impressive defensive effort, knocking off defending champion Las Vegas 78-65, as an underdog allowing 31.3% shooting. Seattle is 35-19 UNDER the total on the road against teams that average 9 or more steals per game. Minnesota is third in the WNBA in points given up (76.2 per game allowed). WNBA road teams like Seattle off of a double-digit road win are 78-33 UNDER the total when playing three or fewer games in 10 days. Take Seattle/Minnesota UNDER the total. 

Seattle is in a quick revenge spot after losing its season opener 83-70 to Minnesota, who now gets the Storm at home. However, Seattle is still a slight favorite as it is expected to improve greatly on its awful shooting night on Tuesday. The Storm shot just 37 percent overall and hit only one of nine 3-point tries. The Storm now have a game under their belts as the new acquistions learn to play together. The Storm signed Skylar Diggins-Smith and Nneka Ogwumike to play alongside Jewell Loyd. The three combined to score 40 points against the Lynx. Seattle is 9-3 OVER its past 12 games as a favorite, 6-2 OVER on the road and they went 7-3 OVER their last 10 games of the 2023 season. Take the Storm on the moneyline and the OVER.

Minnesota was ninth in the 12-team league in scoring last season, eighth in shooting (43.5%), and 11th from long range (32.5%). They have a terrific frontcourt player in Napheesa Collier, but she gets little help from a suspect supporting cast. Seattle was 11th in scoring last season and last in shooting (41%) after losing its top players, Sue Bird and Breanna Stewart. They've revamped things and the offense will take time - if it gels at all. When these teams last met on this court it sailed UNDER in a 78-70 Minnesota win. Play Minnesota/Seattle UNDER the total.