Los Angeles Sparks vs Seattle Storm

Los Angeles has plenty of offensive punch, fourth in the league in scoring (84.6 ppg), fourth in field goal shooting (45.5%), and third from long range (35%). They're on a 19-6 run OVER the total. Seattle comes home from a long three-game road trip at Chicago, Washington, and Connecticut. The offense is fifth in shooting and fifth from area code three (33.8%). When these teams played in June, the game went OVER the total, and this shapes up as another offensive show. Take Los Angeles/Seattle OVER the total.

Seattle looks to bounce back from a loss to Golden State, which snapped a three-game win streak, and the Storm could have had a slight letdown after handing Minnesota its first loss of the season the game before. Los Angeles has lost five of its past seven games and 10 of its past 11 home games dating back to last season. The Sparks are 5-20 in their past 25 games overall, and they have lost six of seven meetings with the Storm, who are on a current 6-3 ATS run. None of the Sparks' wins this year have come against teams that are currently above .500. Seattle has won six of the past seven meetings. The Storm has four players averaging double figures, led by Skylar Diggins with 18.1 points and Nneka Ogwumike with 15.6 points per game. Take the Storm.

Los Angeles has covered the spread the past two meetings, including a 90-82 loss as a 12.5-point underdog to the Storm that went OVER by 10.5 points on Wednesday. The past four meetings have gone OVER and the Sparks have gone OVER five straight against teams with winning records. Seattle is 4-0 OVER its past four games versus opponents with losing records and the Sparks are 5-2 OVER following a loss. Los Angeles has covered five straight versus Western Conference teams and 11 of 15 against teams with winning records. The Storm had to overcome a 21-point deficit to beat lowly Dallas on Friday night and they may not have enough left in the tank to cover a big number. Seattle is 1-9 ATS against teams with losing records, 1-9 ATS overall following an ATS loss and 3-11 ATS its past 14 games overall. The Sparks have covered eight of 11 road games. Take the Sparks and the OVER.

Seattle is 13-5 straight-up at home but has a losing road mark. The offense is ninth in the 12-team league in field goal shooting (43.15%) and last from 3-point land (28.8%). They're on a 5-11 spread run, including 2-7 ATS on the road. Los Angeles plays its third straight home game. They're 7-7 ATS over the last 14 games, including covering as underdogs of +9.5, +16.5, +13.5, +12.5, and +11. They're also 12-5 ATS as an underdog of +9.5 or higher. Play Los Angeles. 

Seattle just finished a nine-game homestand, and they are dominant on their home court but a .500 road team (5-5). Seattle is on a 1-3 ATS run on the road, losing its last two road contests, including an 87-78 loss at Phoenix as a favorite. The offense is third in scoring and second from the free-throw line (83.5%), with two of their last three road games going OVER the total. Seattle is heading out on the road working on one day of rest, while L.A. is home and working on two days of rest. Los Angeles plays its fifth home game over the last six contests. They've split the last four games, including a 98-93 upset of Las Vegas as a +13 dog. They come off an 87-81 victory at Dallas as an underdog. Los Angeles is on an 8-6 spread run, including covering as big underdogs of +10.5, +12.5, +13.5, +14, +14.5, and +13. These teams met in June, with the home team covering in a game that sailed OVER, so back home court in another battle with more offense than defense. Play Los Angeles + bet this game OVER the total.