Los Angeles Sparks vs Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix has beaten the Sparks five times in a row with a 4-1 ATS mark. The Mercury won the first meeting this season 89-86 on May 21 and they are off to a 4-2 start in 2025. Los Angeles has lost 19 of its past 22 games and eight of nine at home dating to last season. Its only two wins this year have been against Golden State and Chicago, who are a combined 4-7. The Sparks were routed by Las Vegas 96-81 on Friday as the Aces hit 12 of 25 3-point tries. The Sparks had no answers for A'ja Wilson and Jackie Young, who combined to score 61 points. Phoenix covered as a 5-point underdog at Minnesota losing 74-71. It will have an easier time against the Sparks. Take the Mercury ATS and on the moneyline.

Los Angeles added star guard Kelsey Plum and it has a new coach this season in Lynne Roberts. The Sparks also return their leading scorer, Dearica Hamby, who averaged 17.3 points and 9.2 rebounds in 2024. They already have a blowout win defeating expansion Golden State 84-67 in their season opener on Friday before losing 89-75 to Minnesota. Phoenix comes off an 81-59 win over Seattle, but the Mercury lost six of their final eight games last year. They are 2-6 straight up and ATS their past eight home games dating to last season and 5-9-1 ATS overall. Four of the past six meetings have gone UNDER and Phoenix stayed UNDER by 18 points against the Storm. Los Angeles went UNDER its first two games. The Sparks have plenty of revenge motivation as they did not defeat the Mercury in any games in 2024. Take the Sparks ATS and on the moneyline, and bet this one to stay UNDER.

Phoenix will be the No. 7 seed in the postseason as Indiana holds the tiebreaker in the standings. The Mercury beat Chicago 93-88 on Sunday with Brittney Griner scoring 26 points and Diana Taurasi added 25 points. The Mercury may rest some starters while Los Angeles would like to end its season on somewhat of a high note and that is the reason for the lower point-spread. Phoenix is 0-4 ATS its past four games following a win, 2-7-1 ATS its past 10 games overall and 1-3-1 ATS its past five road games. The Sparks have covered six straight against Western Conference opponents and they are 19-9 UNDER their past 28 home games. The Mercury are 3-12 ATS the past 15 meetings at Los Angeles. The Sparks have gone UNDER five of seven versus teams with losing records. Take the Sparks and the UNDER.

Los Angeles is in double revenge after losing the first two meetings this season and the Sparks come off their biggest win of the season as they defeated Las Vegas 98-93 in overtime on Friday. Dearica Hamby scored 28 points against her former team and Aari McDonald added a career-high 23 points for the Sparks, who have covered four of their past six games. Phoenix beat Dallas 104-96 on Wednesday and it soared OVER by 27.5 points. Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS at home against the Mercury and the Sparks are 15-1 straight up their past 16 home games versus Phoenix, which has lost six of nine road games outright. Take the Sparks as a Max Play and the OVER.

Los Angeles hasn't been winning much, but the Sparks have been getting the money as they are 6-2 ATS their past eight games and have covered three in a row. The Sparks are getting double digits again as they face Phoenix, which comes off a 73-60 loss at Minnesota on Saturday and the Mercury were down 19 points heading into the fourth quarter and shot only 31 percent for the game. Los Angeles has covered four of its past five road games while getting big points from the oddsmakers. Phoenix also could be looking ahead to Sunday's game when it plays host to Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever. Grab the big points with the Sparks as a Max Play.