Los Angeles walks in with a little momentum, winners of two straight after handling Portland by 17 at home and grinding out a five-point win at Seattle. The competition is worth a second look. One came against a cold expansion team, the other against the team with the worst record in the league. That is not the kind of run that should move a line, and the Sparks still carry one of the worst defenses in the WNBA, a problem they have not solved all season. That is the opening here. Phoenix is flawed and parked near the bottom of the West, but the Mercury get to attack that soft Los Angeles defense at home, where they already knocked off this same Sparks team once this year. The market reads it as a near coin flip, which fits two uneven rosters. In a spot this tight, the points decide it, and you would rather hold them than give them away. Phoenix is on the right side at home tonight. Take the Mercury.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Mercury vs. Sparks Spread Picks
Get Mercury vs. Sparks point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Mercury vs. Sparks game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the -1.5 ATS. 63% of the public money was on Phoenix Mercury to win on the moneyline. And, 65% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 88.2 to 88.0, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
WNBA Pro Pick Results
Here’s how my Pro Picks are performing.
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the -1 ATS. 78% of the public money was on Los Angeles Sparks to win on the moneyline. And, 78% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Los Angeles would win by a score of 88.3 to 85.9 with Los Angeles winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 70% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the -1.5 ATS. 71% of the public money was on Los Angeles Sparks to win on the moneyline. And, 76% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Los Angeles would win by a score of 84.7 to 84.5, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
WNBA
Los Angeles at Phoenix
10:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the -2.5 ATS. 81% of the public money was on Phoenix Mercury to win on the moneyline. And, 76% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 87.5 to 87.0, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
WNBA
Los Angeles at Phoenix
10:00 PM Eastern
Early activity in the marketplace has pushed this total well above the oddsmaker's opening number. It is understandable considering the Sparks are the worst defensive team in the WNBA. The Mercury were embarrassed by expansion Toronto at home Tuesday, losing 98-90. Their defense has been below average, too, but now there is value in taking the UNDER. Both teams have losing records and will be heavily emphasizing defense in this matchup. “It’s gonna be a long season if we don’t get it together on the defensive end,” Phoenix superstar Alyssa Thomas was quoted as saying after the loss to Toronto. The Mercury had the fifth-best defensive rating last season. The UNDER is 2-0-1 during the past three meetings in this series. LA's defense should improve as center Cameron Brink, an elite shot blocker, gets more playing time following a leg injury that derailed her season last year. Take the UNDER.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 61% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the +7 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 86.5 to 83.3 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
PARLAY
Phoenix (WNBA-610) MONEYLINE + Seattle (WNBA-612) MONEYLINE
10:00 PM Eastern
Combine the Mercury (-320) and the Storm (-280) into a 2-team parlay at -128 odds.
Final Score
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