Los Angeles is 12-20 and dropped its last two by six and seven points, hardly must-see basketball, but neither loss got out of hand, and that's the pattern with this team. We had the Sparks getting points against Golden State four days ago, and it cashed; Los Angeles fell by just six to a team that had won eight of its last ten. New York is the far better club at 20-14 and scores 90.8 points per night, yet the Liberty's average margin is a modest 3.2 points, and in their last outing they leaked 106 in a road loss to Indiana. Los Angeles allows 93.6 points per game, the second-worst mark in the league, which might be reason to stay away, but it hasn't stopped this team from staying competitive, even while losing more often than not. A high-scoring favorite that can't put teams away is walking into a defense that gives up points in bunches of its own, and I like how that combination keeps games glued together into the fourth quarter. Los Angeles is the right side on the spread tonight.
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Sparks vs. Liberty Spread Picks
Get Sparks vs. Liberty point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Sparks vs. Liberty game.
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 54% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the +8 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 97.4 to 90.7 with New York winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Pro Picks
Los Angeles at New York
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 55% of the public bets were on New York Liberty on the -5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 91.1 to 88.4 with New York winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on New York Liberty on the -5.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 89.6 to 87.6 with New York winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
New York at Los Angeles
The Liberty had their eight-game winning streak ended Friday when Washington stole one at Barclays, 86-83. Leonie Fiebich paced the offense with 19 while Breanna Stewart and Jonquel Jones both posted double-doubles in the loss. That is how good this team is in defeat. Tonight they go west to face a Sparks team that has been torched on defense all season, allowing nearly 91 points per game — one of the worst marks in the WNBA. Los Angeles is 2-6 at home, having surrendered 78 and 99 points to Golden State and Minnesota in consecutive games heading in. Kelsey Plum, the Sparks' top offensive option, is listed as questionable with a lower leg issue. New York is 5-1 on the road and their defense holds opponents to just 82.6 points per contest — right in line with what the Sparks generate offensively. The Liberty need to win roughly two of three games in spots like this to show a profit at this price. Given this matchup, that rate is conservative. Back New York tonight.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the +4.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 85.5 to 83.0 with New York winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Los Angeles Sparks on the +10.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that New York would win by a score of 85.9 to 80.7 with New York winning on the moneyline, Los Angeles winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Los Angeles at New York
A battle between two of the best offensive teams in the league. Los Angeles is No. 1 in the WNBA in shooting (45.56%) and third in points scored (84.4 per game). Kelsey Plum (20 ppg, 5.8 apg) has solidified the backcourt, while 6-3 Dearica Hamby (17.6 ppg, 7.9 rpg) and Azura Stevens (14.8 ppg, 8.5 rpg) are a handful up front. The Sparks are on a 5-1 SU, 4-2 ATS run, including wins at Indiana (89-87) and Washington (93-86) as underdogs. New York is first in scoring and second in shooting. The defending champions have also been overvalued, with a 6-9-1 ATS record. L.A. shot 48.2 and had a 40-34 edge in points in the paint when these teams met three weeks ago. It was 81-76 with 2:40 left. The Sparks have more than enough offense to make this close again, so back the big underdog. Play Los Angeles.
Final Score
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