Previous Matchups & Picks

September 1, 2024 4:00pm ET
@
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
#627
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
#628

Lines & Odds

-6 (-110)
ATS
+6 (-110)
-221
Moneyline
+184
OVER 170.5 (-105)
Total
UNDER 170.5 (-115)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 65% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -6 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 82.9 to 81.3 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on September 01, 2024 at 11:47AM ET.
img WNBA

Las Vegas at Phoenix

September 1, 2024
img4:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Las Vegas is tops in the league in scoring (86.9 points per game) and shooting (45.1%), plus third from area code three (34.7%) and second from the free throw line (82.9%). The defense is seventh in points surrendered and has been shaky while losing five of eight. They gave up 93 points to Chicago, 98 to Minnesota, and 93 two games ago to Dallas, losing as a -9.5-point favorite. Phoenix is ninth in the 12-team league in points surrendered (84.4 per game). They come off home losses to Minnesota and Las Vegas giving up 84 and 89 points. The offense is sixth in shooting and 3-point shooting, plus fourth at the charity stripe (80.1%). When these teams met in June, it was a 103-99 offensive shootout - and it didn't go into overtime. Play Las Vegas/Phoenix OVER the total. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Aces img
29
23
24
21
97
Phoenix Mercury
10
18
31
20
79

WNBA Premium Pick Results

Here’s how my premium picks are performing.

WNBAWNBA Free Picks last 14.3 years
Wins
Losses
Units
124
97
+57.13
WNBAWNBA Max Plays last 16.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
595
523
+46.36
WNBAWNBA All Playoff Picks last 16.1 years
Wins
Losses
Units
151
130
+9.71
WNBAWNBA Between teams last 1.0 year
Wins
Losses
Units
3
2
+2.55
June 13, 2024 10:00pm ET
@
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
#613
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
#614

Lines & Odds

-5 (-110)
ATS
+5 (-110)
-227
Moneyline
+187
OVER 169.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 169.5 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 86.2 to 80.3 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on June 13, 2024 at 11:16AM ET.
img WNBA

Las Vegas at Phoenix

June 13, 2024
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The champion hangover continues with Las Vegas dropping three in a row, all as chalk. They're working on one day of rest after losing at home to Minnesota, 100-86. The offense is shooting 42.1% from the field. They're 5-13 ATS on the road after scoring 80+ points and 19-6 UNDER the total away from home after a game where they allowed 55% shooting or higher. Phoenix is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run, including an 81-80 victory over Minnesota as a +4.5 dog. They're working on three days of rest after a 97-90 win at Dallas. Phoenix has won four of its five home games this season and is 154-111 UNDER the total after two or more straight victories, plus 31-14 UNDER at home off two consecutive wins against divisional opponents. Take Phoenix as a Max Play, and bet this game to stay UNDER the total. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Las Vegas Aces img
12
42
21
28
103
Phoenix Mercury
28
23
23
25
99
May 21, 2024 10:00pm ET
@
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
#625
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
#626

Lines & Odds

+14 (-110)
ATS
-14 (-110)
+707
Moneyline
-1165
OVER 173 (-110)
Total
UNDER 173 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 64% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the +14 ATS. And, 58% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 92.5 to 75.8 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on May 21, 2024 at 12:02PM ET.
img WNBA

Phoenix at Las Vegas

May 21, 2024
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Phoenix opened the new season at Las Vegas scoring 80 points shooting 38.2% from the field. They return to face Vegas in Game 3 on the road and Phoenix is 83-56 UNDER the total off an upset win as an underdog. They're also 160-123 UNDER revenging a road loss to an opponent. Las Vegas has opened the season with two wins allowing an average of 81 points, the fourth-best defensively in the WNBA. The offense isn't in mid-season form yet shooting 41.7%, eighth in the 12-team league, as well as eighth from long range (31.7%). Las Vegas is 12-4 UNDER the total as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. Take Phoenix/Las Vegas UNDER the total. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury img
25
21
27
25
98
Las Vegas Aces
20
27
21
20
88
May 14, 2024 10:00pm ET
@
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
#627
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
#628

Lines & Odds

+16.5 (-110)
ATS
-16.5 (-110)
+855
Moneyline
-1526
OVER 170 (-110)
Total
UNDER 170 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -16.5 ATS. And, 60% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 92.2 to 73.8 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
14
27
21
18
80
Las Vegas Aces img
29
13
26
21
89
September 10, 2023 3:00pm ET
@
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
#633
Las Vegas Aces
Las Vegas Aces
#634

Lines & Odds

+20.5 (-110)
ATS
-20.5 (-110)
+1468
Moneyline
-5558
OVER 165.5 (-110)
Total
UNDER 165.5 (-110)

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -20.5 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 92.8 to 73.0 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Premium Picks

This pick was released to clients on September 10, 2023 at 12:32PM ET.
img WNBA

Phoenix at Las Vegas

September 10, 2023
img3:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Phoenix isn't playing any defense surrendering 100 and 94 points in the last two games. They're on a 5-0 run OVER the total while on a 10-game losing streak. The defense is ninth in the 12-team WNBA in points given up allowing 44.4% shooting from the field and 37.2% from 3-point land. Phoenix is 20-9 OVER the total after a home loss and 70-46 OVER after two or more straight defeats. Las Vegas loves to run-and-gun, tops in the league in scoring (92.6 points per game) and shooting (48.5%), plus second from long range (37.1%). Las Vegas is 44-27 OVER the total at home after a road victory and 33-13 OVER at home after three or more straight victories. Take Phoenix/Las Vegas OVER the total as a Max Play. 

Final Score

1
2
3
4
F
Phoenix Mercury
23
18
18
26
85
Las Vegas Aces img
28
25
30
17
100

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