Las Vegas Aces vs Phoenix Mercury

Las Vegas looks for payback for a 76-70 loss in the first meeting this season and at the same time will try to snap the Mercury's six-game win streak. Phoenix has gone OVER four in a row and seven of eight. Its past two games have sailed OVER by an average of 31 points. The Aces have been struggling to find some chemistry this year and they had won two straight against Indiana and Connecticut before losing to Washington in a back-to-back spot on Thursday. The Aces shot 50 percent with five double-figure scorers, but the Mystics prevailed as they hit 10 of 19 3-point tries. Phoenix is 4-1-1 OVER with one day of rest and the Mercury have gone OVER four of five following an ATS win. Las Vegas is 12-2 straight up the past 14 meetings, including 5-1 on the road. Take the Aces ATS, on the moneyline and the OVER.

Phoenix is 6-2 at home but has a losing road mark. They've played the fewest road games of any WNBA team. The offense is ninth in the 13-team league in scoring, plus eighth in shooting (42.7%), from area code three (33.2%), and from the free-throw line. The offense averages 73.3 points away from home. Las Vegas is 3-1 at home and plays its third straight home contest. Las Vegas is averaging 87 points at home. The Aces have won 15 out of the last 21 regular-season contests between the clubs, with the wagering value on the home team to win the game. Play Las Vegas on the moneyline. 

Las Vegas is tops in the league in scoring (86.9 points per game) and shooting (45.1%), plus third from area code three (34.7%) and second from the free throw line (82.9%). The defense is seventh in points surrendered and has been shaky while losing five of eight. They gave up 93 points to Chicago, 98 to Minnesota, and 93 two games ago to Dallas, losing as a -9.5-point favorite. Phoenix is ninth in the 12-team league in points surrendered (84.4 per game). They come off home losses to Minnesota and Las Vegas giving up 84 and 89 points. The offense is sixth in shooting and 3-point shooting, plus fourth at the charity stripe (80.1%). When these teams met in June, it was a 103-99 offensive shootout - and it didn't go into overtime. Play Las Vegas/Phoenix OVER the total. 

The champion hangover continues with Las Vegas dropping three in a row, all as chalk. They're working on one day of rest after losing at home to Minnesota, 100-86. The offense is shooting 42.1% from the field. They're 5-13 ATS on the road after scoring 80+ points and 19-6 UNDER the total away from home after a game where they allowed 55% shooting or higher. Phoenix is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run, including an 81-80 victory over Minnesota as a +4.5 dog. They're working on three days of rest after a 97-90 win at Dallas. Phoenix has won four of its five home games this season and is 154-111 UNDER the total after two or more straight victories, plus 31-14 UNDER at home off two consecutive wins against divisional opponents. Take Phoenix as a Max Play, and bet this game to stay UNDER the total. 

Phoenix opened the new season at Las Vegas scoring 80 points shooting 38.2% from the field. They return to face Vegas in Game 3 on the road and Phoenix is 83-56 UNDER the total off an upset win as an underdog. They're also 160-123 UNDER revenging a road loss to an opponent. Las Vegas has opened the season with two wins allowing an average of 81 points, the fourth-best defensively in the WNBA. The offense isn't in mid-season form yet shooting 41.7%, eighth in the 12-team league, as well as eighth from long range (31.7%). Las Vegas is 12-4 UNDER the total as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points. Take Phoenix/Las Vegas UNDER the total.