Indiana Fever vs Tulsa Shock Point Spread Picks

Indiana's Tamika Catchings is still not in sync after missing her team's first 17 games with a back injury. She played her first game on Saturday - another loss for the Fever who are just 8-10 on the season. It's going to take some time for her to get back into form. Tulsa's defense has really struggled on the road but at home it's been pretty good - the equal of Indiana's. The difference here is offense. The Shock average 82.6 per game while Indiana gets just 75.8 per contest. Tulsa has thrived vs. teams like Indiana that score 73+ per game. Over the past two seasons, the Shock are 18-7 ATS against such teams. Over that same span, Tulsa is 13-5 ATS at home when the total is set at 150+ as it is here. And, the Shock are 8-2 ATS this season following a loss. Lay the short price on the home team here.

It has been an ugly, bumpy ride for the Tulsa Shock since their departure from Detroit. They have sat at the bottom of the league for the most part, but did show some gains a year ago with 11 wins - their most since the move. This year started with the same old song, loss after loss, as the Shock opened the season a dreaded 0-5. They have gotten things together, grown as a team, and have become a lot more confident as they have won five of their last seven games. Indiana has been erratic to say the least this season. They opened 0-3, then won four straight, and have now gone just 2-3 in their last five. Indiana plays in the half court and allow the third fewest points in the league, while their offense ranks in the bottom three, so I don't expect this game to get into the 150s as the oddsmakers suggest. Indiana owns seven straight wins vs. Tulsa, so the motivation here will be questionable. The Shock are flying under the radar right now - a lot better than what the record shows. The last five meetings have not reached this total, and Indiana is 11-4 to the UNDER in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record. With Diggins and Sims poised to make an impact down the stretch, I like Tulsa on the moneyline and also the UNDER in this one.

The Indiana Fever are the defending WNBA Champions, but they are going to be knocked off the pedestal this year as they have slipped to 7-9 on the season. They aren't quite dead yet, and if they are going to make a run, they have to come to Tulsa and win in what is certainly a winnable game. Tulsa has had no success since moving from Detroit, and they enter here at 6-13. They are in a huge letdown spot after knocking off Atlanta here in their last game by 27 points. The Fever will be in their best spot, as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 played on a day of rest. The Fever have also played better than the line of late, having gone 6-2 ATS in their last eight overall. Take Indiana.