Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty

New York easily won and covered its first two games, although we can't expect Liberty to come close to hitting 19 3-pointers as they did while routing Chicago 99-74 on Thursday. The Sky shot 36 percent, and Angel Reese went 0-for-8 from the field. New York has allowed its first two opponents an average of 76 points. Indiana split its last two games with Atlanta and improved defensively in the rematch, winning 81-76. The game went UNDER by 15.5 points on Thursday night. The Fever are 1-6-1 ATS at home and 3-7-2 ATS in their past 12 games, dating to last season. Six of nine home games against New York have gone UNDER. The Liberty are 11-3-1 ATS in their past 15 on the road and 7-3 ATS in the past 10 meetings. Take the Liberty and the UNDER.

New York is 6-2 this season, but the Liberty have been moneyburners as they are just 1-7 ATS and they didn't cover as double-digit favorites against Phoenix and Washington their past two games. Indiana has covered five of eight and won its second game of the season 71-70 over Chicago on Saturday. Five players were in double figures as the Fever used balanced scoring led by Kelsey Mitchell with 18 points and NaLyssa Smith add 17. Caitlin Clark contributed 11 points, eight rebounds and six assists. New York is 0-6 ATS its past six home games, 0-4 ATS playing with one day of rest and 1-5 ATS against Eastern Conference foes. Dating to last season, the Liberty are 5-16 ATS. Grab the big points with the Fever as a Max Play.

Combine the Liberty (-1170), the Yankees (-291), and the Aces (-2680) into a 3-team parlay at -195 odds.

New York topped Washington in the opener, 85-80, going OVER the total. Breanna Stewart and Courtney Vandersloot return, the big signees last season that helped get them to the Finals. New York was second in scoring last year (89.2 ppg) and shooting (46%), and looks just as potent offensively. New York is 27-15 OVER the total as a favorite, 18-9 OVER versus divisional opponents, and 26-16 OVER after scoring 80+ points. Rebuilding Indiana was the worst defensive team in the league in 2023 and allowed 92 points in the opener. The last four meetings between these teams have all gone OVER in scores of 100-89, 101-83, 90-73, and 95-87. Look for another run-and-gun offensive show. Take New York/Indiana OVER the total.