Indiana Fever vs Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota's defense is second in the WNBA in points given up and in field goal shooting allowed (41.39%). Indiana prefers to push the tempo winning five in a row and seven of eight. They faced a great defensive team four games ago in Connecticut. That game sailed UNDER the total in an 84-80 Indiana win at home and this total is too high. Play Minnesota/Indiana UNDER the total. 

Minnesota is coming off two huge wins over Las Vegas, including 87-74 on Friday night when Napheesa Collier dominated the matchup with 27 points and 18 rebounds for the Lynx, who shot 51 percent and hit 10 of 28 3-point tries. The Lynx will look to avenge a loss to Indiana on July 14 in the only other meeting this season so far. Five of the past seven meetings have gone UNDER and Minnesota is 7-1 UNDER its past eight home games. The Fever have stayed UNDER four of five on the road. Indiana has not played since Sunday when it defeated Seattle 92-75 and the Fever are 2-5-1 ATS when playing with at least three days rest and 12-27-2 ATS their past 41 games following a win. The Lynx have gone UNDER nine of 12 overall and they have covered four of five playing on no rest. Minnesota is 41-19-1 ATS its past 61 Saturday games. Take the Lynx and the UNDER.

Indiana is third in the league in field goal shooting (44.5%) and fifth from 3-point land (33.7%). They're playing well, on a 9-6 SU/ATS run, including an 88-82 victory at Phoenix as a +8 dog and an 83-78 win over New York three games ago as a double-digit underdog. Minnesota is eighth in the 12-team league in turnovers and seventh in rebounding. They're in a slump, too, on a 3-4 SU/2-5 ATS run and come home after playing six of the last eight on the road. Minnesota comes off a blowout loss to Seattle, 91-63, without their top player, Napheesa Collier (20 ppg, 10.2 rpg), who has missed three straight games with a foot injury. Play Indiana as a Max Play.

Minnesota has clinched a playoff spot and will have the No. 5 seed with a win and an Atlanta loss, but otherwise the Lynx will be the No. 6 seed. Indiana will finish last in the Eastern Conference after some high hopes at beginning of the year. The Lynx have gone OVER seven of their past eight games, including by 13 points in a 92-87 loss at Chicago on Friday. The past two meetings have gone OVER and Minnesota is 5-1 OVER against Eastern Conference opponents and 19-7 OVER overall playing with one day of rest. The Fever are 5-1 OVER versus the Western Conference and the OVER is 5-2 the past seven meetings at Indiana. Play the OVER as a Max Play.

Minnesota doesn't play much defense allowing the third-most points in the WNBA (84.6 ppg allowed). They're 58-39 OVER the first-half total, including 23-9 OVER on the road. Minnesota is also 26-13 OVER the first-half total away vs. teams that attempt 16-plus 3-pointers and 24-12 OVER the first-half total on the road against opponents who average 17-plus assists. Indiana is the worst defensive team in the league giving up 85.1 points per contest. Their strength is on offense, fifth in field goal shooting (43.9%). Indiana is 11-2 OVER the first-half vs. losing squads and 18-7 OVER in the first-half against teams that allow 73-plus points per game. With Minnesota 26-13 OVER the first-half total on the road against teams that average 62+ shots per game, look for a high-scoring first half. Play Minnesota/Indiana First Half OVER the total.