Golden State Valkyries vs Phoenix Mercury Point Spread Picks

Valkyries vs. Mercury Spread Picks

Get Valkyries vs. Mercury point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Valkyries vs. Mercury game.

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 63% of the public bets were on Golden State Valkyries on the -3.5 ATS. And, 64% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 78.7 to 75.7 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Golden State Valkyries

18

28

20

23

89

Phoenix Mercury

21

13

26

31

91

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 57% of the public bets were on Golden State Valkyries on the -7.5 ATS. 93% of the public money was on Golden State Valkyries to win on the moneyline. And, 72% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 83.6 to 79.2 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

This Pro Pick was released to clients on June 09, 2026 at 12:30PM ET.

WNBA

Phoenix at Golden State

June 9, 2026

10:00 PM Eastern

When Golden State beat Phoenix by 16 back in May, the Mercury were without Monique Akoa Makani — their starting point guard and the defensive backbone of their perimeter scheme. Akoa Makani has since returned after finishing her season in France, and the Phoenix that travels tonight is a different unit from the one that absorbed that early blowout. The Valkyries are a legitimate team — Veronica Burton leads a balanced attack, their net rating ranks second in the WNBA, and they rank second in offensive rating and third defensively — but they are also coming off back-to-back losses to Minnesota and Las Vegas, games where they couldn't put quality opponents away. A spread this large requires sustained dominance over 40 minutes, and Golden State hasn't shown that against the league's better competition. Phoenix just won back-to-back road games and is getting healthier. The number doesn't account for how much this roster has changed since the first meeting. Phoenix is the play on the spread. 

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Phoenix Mercury

18

14

29

20

81

Golden State Valkyries

22

27

17

21

87

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 52% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the +2.5 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 81.6 to 79.2 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Phoenix winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Phoenix Mercury

20

11

31

17

79

Golden State Valkyries

17

31

18

29

95

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 51% of the public bets were on Phoenix Mercury on the -8 ATS. And, 57% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 80.7 to 78.0 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, Golden State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Pro Picks

These Pro Picks were released to clients on August 22, 2025 at 12:02PM ET.

WNBA

Golden State at Phoenix

August 22, 2025

10:00 PM Eastern

Golden State is in triple revenge as it will try again to defeat the Mercury, who won the latest meeting 98-81 on Tuesday. The Valkyries came up short even while hitting 12 of 35 3-point attempts. The game soared OVER by 34 points, and Phoenix has allowed an average of 85.5 points in its past four games, going OVER in three of them. Golden State is 4-1-1 ATS in its past six games, and it has gone OVER three of four. The Valkyries have covered five of six road games and four of five overall following a loss. They have covered seven out of 12 on the road. This is a tough scheduling spot for Phoenix, which played at Las Vegas last night and lost by 22 points while shooting 31 percent in one of its worst performances of the season. Take the Valkyries and the OVER.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Golden State Valkyries

15

16

23

18

72

Phoenix Mercury

17

24

26

14

81

Public Consensus

Who was the public on? 71% of the public bets were on Golden State Valkyries on the +7.5 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.

Computer Predictions

My computer prediction for this game was that Phoenix would win by a score of 80.1 to 77.6 with Phoenix winning on the moneyline, Golden State winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.

Final Score

1

2

3

4

F

Phoenix Mercury

28

19

21

30

98

Golden State Valkyries

31

28

14

18

91