Golden State Valkyries vs Minnesota Lynx

Golden State's defense is second in the WNBA in points allowed, and leads the league, allowing just 39.3% shooting. They're also first in offensive rebounds and averaging 34.7 defensive rebounds per game. Golden State has a winning record and has won seven of nine. They come off an 84-57 rout of Seattle as a +5 underdog. They've also scored 88, 87, 78, 83, and 84 points in the last five contests. Minnesota is 10th in the league in offensive rebounds, on a 5-4 run OVER the total. Minnesota is 3-2 over the last five games, beating the worst team in the league (Connecticut), while nipping Atlanta in overtime as a favorite, losing to Washington (68-64) as an 8.5-point favorite, and getting blown out by Indiana (74-59) as a double-digit home favorite. Three plays here: Bet Golden State to cover, take the OVER, and play a unit on Golden State on the moneyline.

Minnesota plays its second straight out West. They're unbeaten but getting overvalued, failing to cover four in a row. They've been favored by -11.5, -16, -7, and -5 in the last four contests but won by 4, 6, 5, and 3 points. Expansion Golden State has been very competitive, ranked fourth in the league in offensive rebounding, sixth in total rebounding, and third from the free-throw line (81.1%). They've split the last four games despite playing three of them on the road, including two at defending champion New York. They beat Washington in their last home game (76-74), won at Los Angeles (82-73) as a double-digit dog, and lost the last game at New York, 82-77, as a +16 underdog. Play Golden State on the moneyline.