Las Vegas is down 0-2 in this series, trailing by 13 points over 80 minutes: 71-60 in Game 1 and 83-81 in Game 2. The Aces beat Golden State all three times in the regular season, by 10, 5, and 19, with total scores of 172, 163, and 165. Las Vegas averaged 177.3 points in regular season games, and its two home playoff games against Indiana finished 187 and 177, so the drop in this series is steep. Golden State allows 75.1 points per game, 7.6 fewer than any other team in the league, and Las Vegas has scored 60 and 81 against it, 70.5 on average, down from 91.5 in the regular season. Game 2 reached 164 because the two teams combined for 48 made free throws on 53 attempts, up from 23 on 31 in Game 1, and they took 115 field-goal attempts, down from Game 1’s 131. In that game, Las Vegas trailed 66-55 after three quarters, outscored Golden State 26-17 in the fourth, and made 23 of 26 free throws itself. A’ja Wilson scored 24 in each game, and Las Vegas is 15-7 at home. Jewell Loyd and Stephanie Talbot are listed day-to-day. I’m on Las Vegas to win and on the UNDER tonight.
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Valkyries vs. Aces Spread Picks
Get Valkyries vs. Aces point spread picks, expert spread analysis, computer model picks, betting consensus data, matchup breakdowns, key betting angles, and the latest odds insights for today's Valkyries vs. Aces game.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 79.3 to 77.7 with Golden State winning on the moneyline, Las Vegas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 59% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -4.5 ATS. 91% of the public money was on Las Vegas Aces to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 78.5 to 76.4 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline, Golden State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Golden State at Las Vegas
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Golden State Valkyries on the -2 ATS. 58% of the public money was on Golden State Valkyries to win on the moneyline. And, 90% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Golden State would win by a score of 78.0 to 77.5, Las Vegas winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 78% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the +1 ATS. 75% of the public money was on Las Vegas Aces to win on the moneyline. And, 89% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 79.8 to 75.2 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 73% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Aces on the -3.5 ATS. And, 63% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 84.8 to 81.7 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline, Golden State winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Pro Picks
Golden State at Las Vegas
The Valkyries rode a four-game winning streak into Friday night before Minnesota brought it to a halt at Chase Center, 81-75. They travel to Las Vegas now on a short turnaround, where the market is loading up against them. A'ja Wilson is averaging better than 26 points a game and leading the league in blocks; Chennedy Carter is right behind her at 20 on better than 60 percent shooting. As a combined threat, there is nothing like it in the WNBA this season. The last time these teams met at this building, though, the final was five points, with Gabby Williams answering nearly every Wilson bucket and Golden State staying right in the game throughout. The Valkyries own one of the stingier defenses in the league, and situational indicators lean toward road underdogs in spots like this — off a loss, facing an elite team they've consistently played tight. The number here assumes the Aces pull away. The recent history says they won't by that much. Play the Valkyries on the spread this afternoon.
Final Score
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