Dallas Wings vs Seattle Storm

Dallas is getting outscored by 4.1 points per game. They're fourth in the league in scoring (85 points per game), fifth in shooting, and third in offensive rebounds. They've been a double-digit dog one other time this season, losing at Minnesota, 85-81, as a +11.5 dog. Seattle is also getting outscored on the season and has a losing record. The offense is ranked 11th from the free-throw line (75.5%), 10th in scoring, and 12th in offensive rebounding, while the defense is ninth in field goal shooting allowed. Seattle has lost three in a row, the last two at home, including a 94-87 loss to Atlanta as a 4.5-point favorite. Play Dallas. 

Both teams have come off blowout losses and revamped rosters this season. However, Dallas has the No. 1 pick in Paige Bueckers, and her backcourt mate, Arike Ogunbowale, comes off a career year. She was the second-leading scorer in the WNBA with 22.2 points per game and led the league in steals. Seattle has been 4-11 ATS in its past 15 road games and 2-6 ATS overall, dating back to last season. The Storm missed 17 of 20 3-point tries and shot only 33 percent overall while getting routed 81-59 at Phoenix on Saturday. They weren't much better defensively as the Mercury shot 52 percent. The Wings went OVER by 19.5 points against Minnesota, and they finished the 2024 season going OVER six of nine. Take the Wings and the OVER.

Dallas has split its last two games, including a 94-88 win over Minnesota as a +9 dog. They're ranked fourth from the free-throw line (80.7%) and iin rebounding. They're also second in offensive rebounding behind 6-2 Natasha Howard (15.2 ppg, 7.2 rpg), 6-7 Teaira McCowan (11.9 ppg, 7.7 rpg), and 6-4 Monique Billings (10.3 ppg, 8.5 rpg). Seattle is seventh in the 12-team league in shooting (43.4%) and 11th from 3-point land (30.6%). Streaky Seattle has won 3 in a row after losing two straight, including an 87-78 loss to Phoenix as a favorite. Play Dallas as a Max Play + on the moneyline.