Connecticut Sun vs Tulsa Shock Point Spread Picks

Fifth-place Connecticut has lost two in a row, including a 90-77 loss at Atlanta the last game. It's their second straight road contest and the Sun is 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. Connecticut is #11 in the WNBA in rebounds and is short on defense, allowing 90 points in each of the last two games, as well as 84, 74, 90 and 90 the last four (three defeats). The Sun is rested, but 0-4 ATS when playing on three or more days rest. Tulsa is home, on a two-game win streak while ranked third in the league in points and rebounds. It's their third consecutive home contest and the Shock is 8-3 ATS following a win. Tulsa is in good shape to make the playoffs and has a shot at home-court advantage in the first round of the postseason. The Shock knocked off East-leading New York 81-76 at Madison Square Garden on Saturday, then won 74-59 against defending WNBA champion Phoenix on Tuesday. The Shock plays its fourth home game since the July 23 announcement that WNBA owners approved the plan to relocate the franchise. Fans have been wearing "Save Our Shock" shirts since. Tulsa is 7-2-1 ATS when playing on two days of rest, so grab the motivated home team and play on Tulsa.

Connecticut raised the hopes of their fans after finishing with the worst record in the WNBA a year ago. They started a poor 1-5, but hopes rose sharply as the Sun ran off a six game winning streak. The problem is that they have now dropped four straight, leaving them at 1-9 outside the streak. Tulsa has made some serious progress, and last year they posted a season high in wins since moving from Detroit, a mark they will certainly eclipse once again this season. The Shock are 7-5 in their last 12, and were 13 points better in their last game at Connecticut, and I don't see anything that looks to change that result tonight. Tulsa is a momentum-driven team, one that is now 15-7 ATS in their last 22 off a win. Make the play on Tulsa.

Last year Tulsa and Connecticut combined to win 21 total games. Both of these teams got off to ugly starts with Connecticut at 1-5, and Tulsa 0-5. It looked like the battle was on for the worst record in the WNBA between these teams once again. Things have changed, as since the ugly starts they now have 13 wins between them in just 22 total games, or 13-9. The question is which one of these teams is for real going forward? I think the answer is Tulsa. The Shock's 11 wins a year ago was a high water mark since moving from Detroit, and they should exceed that this season. They have dveloped some strong talent in Skylar Diggins, and Odyssey. Connecticut just doesn't look to have the roster to sustain a recent run, and they have fallen prey to the loss column in eah of their last three. The Shock are 10-4-1 ATS here in their last 15, and finally have the talent edge to turn in a straight-up win in this one. Play Tulsa on the moneyline.